Tag: climate change

  • Four game-changing researchers in materials science

    Four game-changing researchers in materials science

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    Global issues, such as climate change and improving sustainability in manufacturing, and technological opportunities, including artificial intelligence and quantum computing, are driving forward the frontiers of research in materials science. These four scientists are among a new generation of researchers helping to push forward these boundaries while also bringing diverse skills to the field, ensuring a broader range of views are included in tomorrow’s solutions.

    GRACE GU: Composite creator

    Limited tone illustration of Grace Gu

    Grace Gu is using techniques such as machine learning to design composite materials.Credit: Paddy Mills

    Grace Gu is taking inspiration from a wide range of places when she comes up with designs for composite materials that are more robust, adaptable and cheaper to produce than current forms. Turning to “the hidden gems of the mathematical world” to inform her designs has been especially rewarding, says Gu, who works as a mechanical engineer at the University of California, Berkeley (UC Berkeley).

    Earlier this year, she co-authored a paper1 on composite material designs based on aperiodic monotiles — unique shapes, discovered just last year2 — that can cover a surface without ever repeating pattern. The materials were shown to be stronger, stiffer and tougher than conventional honeycomb tile structures because the non-repeating pattern creates a tightly packed network with a high tolerance of defects due to how the patterns distribute stress throughout the material. Lightweight composite materials with these characteristics are highly sought after in spacecraft and satellite manufacturing.

    “Our experiments show that the designs not only absorb energy efficiently, but also exhibit unique interlocking behaviours where the tiles actually interact with and reinforce each other,” says Gu.

    She says that she is excited by the simplicity of these designs that use a single shape because they have “immense potential for engineering applications, as they could reduce manufacturing complexity and costs”.

    “There’s actually an entire family of monotiles, which gives us a wide range of design possibilities, so far more flexibility than traditional honeycomb structures,” Gu says of the potential for these designs in creating stronger and more efficient materials.

    Gu’s ability to recognize patterns has been key to her success as a researcher. She recalls a lightbulb moment she had in 2016 when AlphaGo, an artificial-intelligence (AI) system created by London-based company Google DeepMind, defeated the world’s best player at the board game Go. Gu noticed that the grid used in Go — on which two players move stones to control territory — was similar to the pixelated 2D composite-design problem she was working on at the time.

    “We have different types of materials that can occupy different positions” on a grid, and “design strategies that are like boardgame strategies”, she says. Gu considered that if machine learning could be used to train a system to play Go — known for its immense complexity and astronomical number of possible moves — it could help her find new composite designs more efficiently.

    Gu found that AI could predict the properties of materials at a vastly accelerated pace3, and it changed how she approached this kind of work in the future. Initially applying machine learning to pixelated designs inspired by AlphaGo, Gu and colleagues have since explored graph-based and Bezier curve approaches to this work, which can capture other types of structures and geometries more effectively.

    As a woman in a male-dominated field, Gu is passionate about mentoring young women in research. She says she realized the importance of representation when, during the first class she taught at UC Berkeley, a female student raised her hand to say that she was excited for the semester because Gu was the first female professor she had been taught by at the university. “I think back at these moments and remind myself that this is the best part about being a professor; mentoring and teaching the next generation to fulfil their potential and beyond,” she says.

    Gu has received numerous accolades for her work, including a 2020 Outstanding Young Manufacturing Engineer Award from US industry body SME and The American Society of Mechanical Engineers Early Career Award in 2023. — Esme Hedley

    MARCILEIA ZANATTA: Decarbonization designer

    Limited tone illustration of Marcileia Zanatta

    Marcileia Zanatta’s research harnesses decarbonization to create sustainable materials.Credit: Paddy Mills

    Marcileia Zanatta’s desire to design new products to overcome challenges began as early as age eight, when she dreamed of inventing something that could dissolve the hair trapped in her shower drain. “I used to observe everyday problems and say: ‘When I grow up, I’m going to create something that solves this’,” she recalls.

    She went on to study industrial chemistry at university in her native Brazil and, while doing a master’s at the Federal University of Rio Grande do Sul in Porto Alegre in 2012, she began working on decarbonization — a field she finds “incredibly rewarding because of its direct impact on people’s lives”.

    More than a decade on, Zanatta, a material chemist at Jaume I University in Castelló de la Plana, Spain, is focused on finding energy-efficient ways to convert carbon dioxide into sustainable materials that can be used in chemicals, fuels, and other useful products. “This can lead to a circular economy and a net-zero future,” she says.

    In October, the province of Valencia, near where Zanatta lives, experienced one of the deadliest flooding events in Spanish history. There were also devastating floods in May across Rio Grande do Sul, the Brazilian state where she had spent a significant part of her career. “These catastrophes are painful reminders that simply reducing carbon emissions is no longer enough to address the consequences of climate change,” says Zanatta. “This reality underscores the urgency of my work.”

    She and her collaborators have invented ways to transform atmospheric carbon into compounds such as formate salts4, which can be used as de-icing agents and fluids to aid drilling, and cyclic carbonates5 — important materials in lithium batteries, cosmetics and industrial solvents.

    The latter work, she says, is one of her biggest accomplishments to date. Producing cyclic carbonates from CO2 is typically energy intensive, requiring temperatures above 100 °C, pressures 20 times greater than found in the atmosphere at sea level, and several hours to allow reactions to take place. But in 2023, Zanatta developed a more efficient method — one that takes place under mild conditions using inexpensive, commercially available organic salts such as tetrabutylammonium hydroxide. She’s even used 3D printing to create bespoke reactors that enhance reaction rates by maximizing surface area and improving the distribution of reactants around the catalyst6.

    Enabling such reactions in ambient conditions has opened up other avenues, including decarbonization methods that combine both chemical and biological reactions. “Merging the two isn’t so easy, because the second part involves microorganisms, which usually can’t withstand harsh chemical conditions,” Zanatta explains. But harnessing such biological power — some microbes can metabolize simple carbon compounds — is crucial if scientists want to produce biodegradable materials based on biopolymers from CO2. This year, Zanatta and her team successfully demonstrated how a green plastic called poly-3-hydroxybutyrate (PHB) could be produced using such a chemo-biocatalytic process, with formate salts as an intermediary — the first time PHB has been produced from captured atmospheric air4.

    Zanatta has received numerous recognitions for her work, including being named a 2023 Rising Star by the materials-science journal ACS Materials Au. But her journey hasn’t always been easy, and Zanatta says female researchers face particular challenges.

    “The years when we are close to securing a permanent position are often the same years many women are considering starting a family.” A maternity break “can completely change a woman’s career”, she says.

    Working in a male-dominated field also means that Zanatta frequently “hears sexist remarks or encounters ‘mansplaining’”, but she says it’s important to try and speak up because “engagement and awareness are key”. She offers her younger female counterparts the following advice: “Be persistent, resilient, and try not to take things personally. Always demonstrate your value, take initiative, and be confident in your leadership.” — Sandy Ong

    CONG XIAO: Quantum explorer

    Limited tone illustration of Cong Xiao

    Cong Xiao explores how quantum rules can predict the behaviour of materials.Paddy Mills

    Cong Xiao was drawn to the field of condensed-matter physics because he wanted to explore electron wavefunctions: mathematical descriptions of how electrons behave at the quantum-mechanical level.

    The fact that it can be used to develop new electronic devices shows the wonder of how “the microscopic quantum-mechanical rules can be connected to the macroscopic devices in our daily life”, says Xiao, a theoretical physicist.

    As a PhD student at Peking University in Beijing from 2018 to 2021, for instance, Xiao learnt of the “power and beauty” of the Berry phase — an important unifying theory in the field. He says it cemented his decision to pursue an area of physics that underpins important products in materials science, such as liquid crystals and silicon chips.

    Now an assistant professor at the Institute of Applied Physics and Materials Engineering at Macau University, Xiao is exploring new physical effects that can be predicted by quantum rules. For example, in sub-fields such as nonlinear transport and spintronics, he’s looking at how electrons move and interact in unusual ways. Advances in these areas could inform the design of advanced technologies such as quantum computers.

    Although his work is theoretical, Xiao says a characteristic of good research in his field is that it “not only reveals some new principle in the microscopy level but can also lead to developments in technology”.

    For example, some of Xiao’s current work in nonlinear transport has potential use in rectifiers, electrical devices that convert alternating current into direct current, a common need in communications technology. “Nonlinear transport can be used to achieve such devices, and the underlying principle is truly quantum mechanical,” says Xiao.

    An important paper7 in his career — published in 2021 — reported the first-principles calculations of the nonlinear Hall effect in antiferromagnets. The nonlinear Hall effect is the production, upon the application of an electric field, of a transverse voltage that scales nonlinearly with the applied field.

    Xiao says the paper gave other researchers the tools to perform more research on nonlinear transport in magnetic systems, as manipulation of these systems has potential applications in information technology.

    Xiao says it is sometimes difficult to decide which direction the field of condensed-matter physics is moving in. He says the biggest challenge for a theoretical researcher is “always keeping yourself always at the frontier of the research”, because ideas and topics in condensed-matter physics “move very rapidly”.

    “We have to keep learning the theoretical skills just to help us to understand the questions in broader contexts, to help to study wider physical questions. I think this is the biggest challenge, to keep exploring wider and wider research” questions.

    In the Nature Index, Xiao stands out from other early-career researchers for his relatively high materials science-related output. His Share of 3.53 for the period 2019 to 2023 places him among the leading 20 early-career researchers in the field. — Esme Hedley

    CAIO OTONI: Biomolecule magician

    Limited tone illustration of Caio Otoni

    Caio Otoni looks at new ways to upcycle biological waste into useful products.Credit: Paddy Mills

    At the State University of Campinas in São Paulo, Brazil, Caio Otoni studies the circular economy, where biological waste, such as fruit peels, coffee husks and crustacean shells, is upcycled into new products, materials and energy sources. This approach is particularly relevant to Brazil, a leading producer of sugarcane, coffee and other food crops.

    In Otoni’s lab, he and his colleagues break down waste material into its building blocks — cellulose, chitin and other polymers — and pair it with other compounds to create plastics with biodegradable and antibacterial properties.

    In a 2019 paper8, for example, Otoni and his colleagues described how they grafted cationic compounds, chemicals that contain positively charged ions, onto upcycled cellulose to create an antibacterial foam material for use in packaging, filtration and hygiene products. The foam’s positively charged compounds adhere to and disrupt the negatively charged surface of bacterial cell membranes, leading to bacterial cell death. In tests, it displayed an 85% higher antimicrobial response to Escherichia coli compared with controls.

    Otoni credits his botanist father, whose lab he would visit when he was growing up, for cultivating his appreciation for plants. But it was his time spent as an exchange student at the US Department of Agriculture’s research facility in Berkeley, California, that solidified his passion for sustainably produced materials.

    While working on a project with an Alaskan fishing company, Otoni realized how wasteful it was to throw fish skin back into the ocean. The young undergraduate devised a way to isolate collagen from the discarded skin, convert it to gelatin, and produce packaging material.

    “That was the very first project I worked on that exploited not only biorenewable resources, but also waste biomass, as a source of polymers,” says Otoni. As a PhD student and postdoc, he went on to create new materials from carrot and peach waste, as well as sugarcane bagasse — the pulpy residue left after sugarcane stalks are crushed to extract their juice.

    Securing funding as a young scientist can be tough, he concedes, “because you are competing with the big fish, the established researchers”. Working in Brazil “adds another level of complexity, because in most institutions, staff numbers are limited, meaning we have to deal with paperwork and administrative tasks in addition to our regular teaching, research and outreach duties”, says Otoni.

    “Also, in Brazil, almost everything is charged in dollars or euros, and the currency exchange makes it hard to afford some devices that are key to running competitive research.”

    It’s also been a steep learning curve to launch his own lab in 2020. “You’re trained to go to the bench and do research; you’re not trained to supervise students and manage a team. That’s something that comes with time and experience,” says Otoni, who in 2023 was the sole researcher based outside Europe and North America to win the Materials Today Rising Star Award in 2023, an annual prize given to six early-career researchers in the field of materials science and engineering.

    Otoni is keen to train other young researchers in his lab in how to upcycle waste products, as he sees it as work that can make a real impact.

    “I really believe our research on circular plastics can make a difference and help diminish the burden of plastic pollution in the world,” he says. — Sandy Ong

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  • Arctic tundra is now a source – not a sink – of carbon emissions

    Arctic tundra is now a source – not a sink – of carbon emissions

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    Scenic landscape with tundra, lonely mountain and moon. In June in the Arctic in the tundra, not all snow has melted yet. Beautiful nature of the far North. Anadyr tundra, Chukotka, Siberia, Russia.; Shutterstock ID 1602740413; purchase_order: -; job: -; client: -; other: -

    Arctic tundra in Siberia

    Shutterstock / Andrei Stepanov

    The Arctic tundra now emits more carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases than it absorbs. Rising temperatures due to climate change have shifted the ecosystem’s effect on the planet – it has moved from helping to cool Earth to having a warming effect.

    “It’s a really serious change,” says Twila Moon at the National Snow and Ice Data Center in Colorado. “Human-caused warming is now causing warming from nature. It is irreversible on a thousands-of-years timescale.”…

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  • Extreme heat may rapidly sap the ocean’s ability to absorb CO2

    Extreme heat may rapidly sap the ocean’s ability to absorb CO2

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    Last year, the ocean surface was much hotter than usual, as seen in July 2023

    Copernicus Climate Change Service/ECMWF

    The ocean may have removed much less carbon dioxide from the atmosphere than expected in 2023, mainly due to high ocean temperatures. If climate change continues to rapidly weaken the planet’s ocean and land carbon sinks, it will be even more difficult to avoid dangerous levels of warming.

    The ocean currently absorbs a quarter of the world’s CO2 emissions from the atmosphere each year. However, warming temperatures are expected to weaken this natural carbon sink and observations from 2023…

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  • Climate Change Is Destroying Monarch Butterflies’ Winter Habitat

    Climate Change Is Destroying Monarch Butterflies’ Winter Habitat

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    every year, at the beginning of November, one of the most impressive natural spectacles in the world takes place in Michoacán, Mexico. Hundreds of millions of migrating monarch butterflies settle in the forested massifs of the country’s Monarch Butterfly Biosphere Reserve, roughly 100 kilometers west of Mexico City. Having flown south for eight months, beginning their journey in the northern United States or southern Canada, they hibernate here for the winter before mating in the spring.

    After flying for more than 4,000 kilometers, the butterflies land in the oyamel fir trees of the Ejido el Rosario region, where for weeks they congregate, protecting themselves from the wind and the cold nights. Without these trees, the butterflies would not be able to survive their exhausting journey.

    The oyamel fir grows in a very small climatic space, one that is humid yet cold. “Its distribution is very limited to the highest mountains in central Mexico,” says Cuauhtémoc Sáenz Romero, a professor at the Universidad Michoacana de San Nicolás de Hidalgo. Sáenz Romero is the lead author of a recent study that anticipates that this forest will gradually deteriorate to the point of disappearance as a result of climate change, endangering the butterflies.

    For the roosting monarchs, the oyamel canopy acts as a buffer to the local temperature and humidity, Sáenz Romero explains. “During the day, under the shade of the oyamel, the environment stays 5 degrees Celsius cooler than outside. It is a protection against high temperatures. At night it is the other way around, resulting in a 5 degree Celsius warmer environment.” The density of the canopy also protects against winter rain. “If the temperature drops below zero and the butterflies get their wings wet, they can freeze. That’s why these trees represent such a particular habitat,” says Sáenz Romero.

    After awaking from hibernation and mating in central Mexico, the insects fly north to Texas in the United States, where they lay their eggs. “For all this, they need energy reserves to return, which they don’t have to spend on fighting the cold in the wintering sites,” he explains.

    This fine balance for their survival is provided only by the oyamel firs. However, some models indicate that a climate conducive to them will have disappeared in this area by 2090. “Due to rising temperatures, we are observing a process of forest decline,” says Sáenz Romero, who is leading an initiative to establish new overwintering sites for the monarchs, which are on the red list of threatened species.

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  • Satellites are no silver bullet for methane monitoring

    Satellites are no silver bullet for methane monitoring

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    Tracking methane emissions accurately is crucial for shaping environmental policies and regulations. This colourless and odourless gas, which is the main component of natural gas and a potent greenhouse gas, is emitted from a variety of sources, including oil drilling and farming. But finding and quantifying it is inherently challenging.

    A reliable system urgently needs to be put in place for methane monitoring. And there has been a lot of buzz lately around using satellites. In March, the MethaneSAT satellite was launched for this purpose. Some are heralding this technology as the next big thing in environmental monitoring.

    As someone who has spent decades working on satellite systems, I can appreciate the allure. Satellites offer the ability to cover vast expanses of land, capturing data from regions that are difficult to monitor by other means.

    But, before we get too carried away, it’s worth pausing to consider what satellites can — and, more importantly, cannot — do. Although satellites can provide crucial insights into methane releases, they are not a comprehensive solution. Their effectiveness is often hampered by limited spatial resolution, atmospheric interference and the challenge of accurately identifying specific emission sources.

    Satellites’ broad spatial coverage tends to come at the cost of precision. Take the Permian Basin — a prolific oil- and gas-producing area in the southwestern United States. Overlapping infrastructure, such as pipeline networks and storage facilities, combined with varying topography, fluctuating weather patterns and diverse land uses, make specific emission sources hard to pinpoint.

    Weather patterns can distort satellite readings, and offshore emissions are frequently missed. Given that oceans cover more than two-thirds of our planet, this is no small oversight.

    My experience managing large-scale satellite projects has taught me that remote-sensing data can sometimes raise more questions than they answer. This underscores the need for complementary monitoring methods.

    To verify findings and identify leaks, satellites must be paired with boots on the ground. Relying too heavily on satellite data without corroborating it risks painting an incomplete — and possibly inaccurate — picture. And modelled data should not replace on-the-ground observations.

    Such a multifaceted strategy can enhance the precision of methane monitoring, meaning that decisions are based on accurate and thorough data. More must be done to ensure that global players are investing in and deploying the most accurate methods, and are placing funding intentionally behind the technology that works best.

    That means taking a more realistic approach to missions such as MethaneSAT, which is a collaboration including the US Environmental Defense Fund, Harvard University in Cambridge, Massachusetts, and the New Zealand Space Agency. MethaneSAT represents a technological upgrade over previous satellites for monitoring methane. These include GHGSat, a series of satellites that monitor carbon dioxide and methane from industrial sources, and the European Space Agency’s Sentinel-5 Precursor, which is part of the Copernicus programme and equipped to detect various atmospheric gases. Nonetheless, several challenges can affect its data.

    Cloud and weather conditions can mask emissions and measurements cannot be performed at night. Emissions are hard to attribute to specific sources in densely populated areas, and data processing and interpretation challenges hinder detection in areas with dense forests or at high latitudes, where reduced sunlight reflection complicates measurements.

    MethaneSAT is unable to measure methane emissions over water bodies, although plans are under way to enhance its capabilities to monitor offshore methane emissions by observing sunlight glinting on the water’s surface. And for agriculture, there can be difficulties in distinguishing between emissions from livestock and those from wetlands.

    To enhance MethaneSAT’s accuracy, its data should be integrated with ground and aerial efforts. Ground teams and permanent monitoring stations can verify emissions, and drones and aircraft provide detailed coverage in challenging areas. Better algorithms and machine learning could fuse satellite, aerial and ground data for more precise emission attribution. Technological advances would allow night-time and offshore detection.

    Thus, the real work happens on the ground, where problems are actually solved. The US oil and natural-gas industry, for example, is working with the best minds to accelerate innovative technologies, including satellites, to detect and mitigate its methane emissions. It is also deploying response teams on the ground to quickly find and repair any leaks.

    Ultimately, my concern is that in our rush to embrace satellite monitoring, we end up missing the real picture. Methane detection is complex and no single technology can cover every angle. To make a difference, we need a balanced approach — one that values both the sweeping view from above and the granular, precise work done on the ground. Because, at the end of the day, methane monitoring is too important to leave to one tool alone. Let’s make sure we get this right.

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  • Human body’s ageing ‘clock’ ticks faster after heat stress

    Human body’s ageing ‘clock’ ticks faster after heat stress

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    Nature, Published online: 09 December 2024; doi:10.1038/d41586-024-04007-8

    Preliminary study suggests possible link between long-term heat exposure and molecular markers of ageing.

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  • The climate-crusading lawyer who sued Switzerland over global warming — and won

    The climate-crusading lawyer who sued Switzerland over global warming — and won

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    Eight years of legal fighting came down to this one moment.

    On 9 April, Cordelia Bähr and the 2,500-plus women she represented in a landmark climate lawsuit were waiting to hear how the European Court of Human Rights (ECHR) would rule.

    “I was very, very, very nervous,” says Bähr. But at the same time, she expected her side to prevail.

    In 2015, as a young lawyer in Zurich, Bähr began working on a revolutionary concept in climate-change litigation. While poring over research on the 2003 heatwave in Europe that killed 70,000 people, Bähr learnt that older women died at unusually high rates during that disaster, and that they are especially vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. This fact, she realized, opened the door to a lawsuit against the Swiss government for violating the rights of older women by failing to take steps to prevent climate change.

    Working with colleagues and the environmental campaign group Greenpeace Switzerland, Bähr built a case and assembled an association that initially included a few dozen older women, named the KlimaSeniorinnen Schweiz, or Swiss Senior Women for Climate Protection. After filing its first lawsuit in 2016, the group worked its way through the Swiss judicial system, eventually losing its appeal to the federal supreme court in May 2020. Later that year, Bähr and the KlimaSeniorinnen took their case to the European court.

    On that fateful day in April this year, they won. The court ruled that Switzerland was violating the human rights of the KlimaSeniorinnen’s members by not taking adequate measures to limit global warming.

    Bähr deserves credit as the “brain of the whole thing”, says Elisabeth Stern, a board member of the KlimaSeniorinnen. “She is somewhat of a shy person; she is never in the foreground,” says Stern, who adds that Bähr “was the only one in Switzerland who could have done it”.

    One of the key legal issues was the court deciding that the KlimaSeniorinnen association qualified to claim victim status under the European Convention on Human Rights, by showing that the members’ rights had been violated. Once it established that, the court found that Switzerland had failed to meet its obligations under the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change and the 2015 Paris climate agreement.

    The KlimaSeniorinnen suit was a strong legal package, says Helen Keller, a professor of law at the University of Zurich and a former judge with the ECHR. Bähr “prepared the case so perfectly”, says Keller, that it was difficult for the court to rule against the KlimaSeniorinnen.

    Climate change was not something that Bähr was concerned about while she was growing up. It was only after she obtained her law degree that she started to truly consider the consequences of a warming planet. But, unlike most people, Bähr decided that she had to do something about the issue. “When I see such problems, it’s hard for me to just ignore [them].”

    And she realized there was a legal angle. “For me, it was quite a natural thing that these two things belong together, and that the climate crisis is one of the biggest potential infringements of human rights.”

    Legal scholars say the ruling is already having an impact and that other courts have cited the case in their decisions on climate-change lawsuits.

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  • We finally have an explanation for 2023’s record-breaking temperatures

    We finally have an explanation for 2023’s record-breaking temperatures

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    There was a sharp fall in the number of low-lying clouds in 2023

    Busà Photography/Getty Images

    Changes in cloud cover may account for why global temperatures for the past two years have exceeded the predictions of climate models.

    2023 and 2024 saw temperature records repeatedly smashed, with both years now showing average temperatures around 1.5°C above the pre-industrial level. Climate change plus an El Niño weather pattern are partly to blame, but neither factor fully explains the extraordinary warmth.

    Now, researchers believe the answer lies in a sharp drop in low-lying cloud cover in 2023. This change reduced Earth’s albedo – the planet’s ability to reflect solar radiation back into space – causing an increase in temperatures.

    Earth’s albedo has been declining since the 1970s, largely due to the melting of polar ice caps, which help to bounce sunlight back into space. But analysis of satellite data by Helge Goessling at the Alfred Wegener Institute in Germany and his colleagues revealed that 2023’s planetary albedo hit a record low.

    Goessling and his colleagues then used a combination of weather observations and modelling to understand the causes of this drop, and found there had been a sharp fall in the number of low-lying clouds in 2023. The change was particularly pronounced in the Atlantic Ocean, which experienced some of the most unusual temperature extremes in 2023.

    “We were able to get an indication of where the clouds are actually changing, at which altitude in the atmosphere,” says Goessling. “It really is quite striking that this, this decrease of the cloud cover, is mostly happening in the lower levels.”

    The findings could explain the additional 0.2°C of missing heat scientists have been struggling to account for, once the impacts of background climate change and the 2023 El Niño are tallied. “It’s another piece of the puzzle, and I think quite an important one,” says Goessling. Even though the study only assessed data from 2023, the findings may also explain why global temperatures have remained extremely high throughout 2024, despite El Niño fading earlier this year.

    Paulo Ceppi at Imperial College London says the study is timely because climate scientists are keen to understand the drivers of the recent record warmth. “I think they make a pretty compelling case that albedo changes, in specifically low clouds, have been a major contributor to the changes in the radiation budget – and therefore temperature,” he says.

    The next question is why low-lying clouds are disappearing. Broadly, there are three explanations. It could be due to a global reduction in aerosol pollution, which helps clouds form and persist. Alternatively, it could be the result of global warming changing how clouds behave. Or it could simply be natural variability in the climate.

    Understanding which of these three factors is dominant is crucial, because it influences how sensitive Earth’s climate is to greenhouse gas pollution. If the lack of clouds is due to a climate change feedback, then the impact will accelerate in the coming years, pushing global temperatures higher than expected. “The answer does have pretty profound implications for what we expect about future climate change,” says Ceppi.

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  • The extraordinary ways species control their own evolutionary fate

    The extraordinary ways species control their own evolutionary fate

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    New Scientist. Science news and long reads from expert journalists, covering developments in science, technology, health and the environment on the website and the magazine.

    Living in the desert is a challenge. But the Mojave desert woodrat has an ace to play: it can eat poison. This allows the cute little rodent to survive and thrive by feeding on toxic creosote bushes. Remarkably, it hasn’t evolved the genes required to do so. Instead, it eats the faeces of other woodrats and thereby inherits detoxifying bacteria that take up residence in its gut.

    The desert woodrat is an example of how the things organisms do can affect their evolution. And it is far from a one-off: in recent years, it has become clear that many organisms influence their own evolution by creating non-genetic traits that can become subject to natural selection. This challenges traditional Darwinian thinking, which sees evolution as a process rooted in random genetic mutation. But that’s not all. These non-genetic ways of adapting may also help explain another puzzling aspect of evolution – evolvability, or why some organisms have a greater capacity to evolve than others.

    I am one of a growing group of evolutionary biologists who believe that non-genetic inheritance plays a vital role in evolvability. This has practical implications. Faced with climate change, species must adapt fast or go extinct, and evidence is mounting that extragenetic adaptations, such as those found in the desert woodrat, can rescue organisms from the brink. The new thinking has implications for how we view our own evolution, too. Our complex culture makes the way humans evolve very different and far more rapid than the evolution of most other species. This unusual,…

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  • What ancient stalagmites can tell us about how wildfires will burn on a hotter Earth

    What ancient stalagmites can tell us about how wildfires will burn on a hotter Earth

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    Stalagmites at the Oregon Caves National Monument

    Chemicals in drip water form records of ancient fires in speleothem cave structures

    Jay Alder/Oregon State University

    In the event of a wildfire, flee into the cave. This is the official emergency policy of Oregon Caves National Monument and Preserve, a forested area protecting a labyrinth of passages dissolved in a rare marble formation high in the Siskiyou mountains. There hasn’t been a fire in the preserve for a century. But the potential for a conflagration in the dry forest is palpable. If a fast-moving wildfire were to burn through, the cave would be the safest place for park rangers to hide.

    However, the 1.7-million-year-old cave is not entirely isolated from any fires burning on the surface. When a fire burns above, heat and smoke can alter the chemistry of the water that seeps down through the rock. As it drips into the cave, it can leave behind traces of fire in sheer layers of mineral residue. Over millennia, this builds up within weird cave structures known as speleothems, which protrude from every surface where water flows, including stalagmites on the cave floor and stalactites on the ceiling.

    “It’s a snapshot,” Katie Wendt, a palaeoclimatologist at Oregon State University, told me when I joined her on a recent expedition into the cave. She is among a growing set of researchers using cave records of wildfires to extend our view of fire activity back hundreds of thousands of years, to a time when temperatures on Earth were even hotter than today. That, in turn,…

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